Rebirth of the Strongest Tycoon

Chapter 515 Gold, Black Gold and Dollars

Liu Tianci is an outstanding financial talent. He has worked in HSBC for so long and is no stranger to the specific operation of the bank. Therefore, when managing Jiuding Bank, he will naturally not ignore the important factor affecting the international gold price.

Since 1974, the international gold price has started to rise, and before October 1977, the gold price rose from $130 to $180 per ounce.

Then, starting in October 1977, the Federal Reserve began to periodically operate the US dollar and launched a super-loose monetary policy. The US dollar began to depreciate. It continued to stabilize in October 1978, and the international gold price also rose to the current $244. the height of.

The "three golds", namely gold, black gold (oil) and the US dollar, have complex connections.

In the early 1970s, after the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the world monetary system built after World War II, the price of gold and oil both broke away from the fixed exchange ratio with the US dollar, and there was a trend of sharp price spikes. The three are closely related and have checks and balances with each other. Relative stability is hidden in the mutual fluctuations, and absolute changes exist in the surface stability.

When the U.S. dollar depreciates, capital will choose hard currency gold as a safe haven, global capital will flood into the gold market, and the international gold price will rise.

Therefore, relatively speaking, Jiuding Bank’s investment in gold can indeed preserve the value of assets and even make profits.

However, Liu Tianci has analyzed that the cyclicality of the Federal Reserve has depreciated the dollar for a year, and it will be stable for a long period of time. If you invest in gold now, the assets will not rise as fast as they are now.

But now the chairman Xia Yu has pointed out that the international gold price is going to rise, and to speculate in London gold futures, Liu Tianci believes that his ability and intelligence are inferior to Xia Yu, so there must be some important news that he does not know.

This is worth a wake-up call!

"Chairman, will the gold price rise in the future? For what reason?"

Liu Tianci asked, his expression was very serious and serious, and at the same time there was a trace of anxiety in his heart.

He hoped that the problem was with intelligence rather than his abilities, otherwise it would definitely deal a major blow to him.

A light flashed in Xia Yu's eyes, and he said solemnly: "Iran's strike movement is about to change in quality now. I predict that it will evolve into a revolution. At that time, Iran's oil exports are likely to stop!"

"how is this possible?"

Liu Tianci horror,

With round eyes, he blurted out his debut, which was unbelievable.

But looking at Chairman Xia Yu's serious expression, he had to take a deep breath to calm himself down.

Since Xia Yu said so, relying on his international vision and the news gathering and exploration ability of Jiuding News Agency, Liu Tianci had to believe this possibility.

He also knows that there is an internal struggle in Iran. Since January this year, there have been large-scale demonstrations against the monarchy, and there have been large-scale strikes since August.

But until the beginning of December now, he did not understand that there was not much change, so he naturally did not expect that a revolution would break out in Iran, one of the most powerful countries in the Middle East.

But if a revolution really breaks out in Iran, it will definitely have a huge world impact.

Just because Iran is so special!

In the industrial age, oil is the blood of the industry. Iran is located in the heart of the world, the Middle East, and itself is the second largest oil exporter in the world. If a revolution really breaks out, it will even stop oil as Chairman Xia Yu said. The phenomenon of export, then none of the developed countries in Europe and the United States can escape.

The reduction of international crude oil and the absolute skyrocketing of oil prices will lead to a series of bad consequences!

If nothing else, the United States, the world's largest economy, has long relied on the two pillars of crude oil and the dollar.

Now that the US domestic fiscal deficit crisis has emerged, the inflation situation has become prominent, and the US dollar is weak. If crude oil rises again, it will definitely lead to a decline in the purchasing power of the US dollar, increasing the pressure on the depreciation of the US dollar, and the domestic inflation in the United States will be more serious.

Now that the dollar has been depreciating continuously for a year, the Fed has finally stopped the cycle to contain it, which is not bad, after all, it is still artificially manipulated.

However, if the international crude oil price suddenly soars, this sudden and uncontrollable factor will cause the deployment of the Federal Reserve to be disrupted, and the capital will be forced to depreciate the dollar, and the dollar held will be thrown out, and the capital will quickly seek the gold market. Sheltered value.

Therefore, the international gold price will definitely start a new round of skyrocketing. From January 1977 to October 1978, the international gold price only rose by more than 60 US dollars an ounce, and this time it will only be higher than lower!

This is definitely a huge crisis!

Of course, when you know the news in advance, and you are prepared, the crisis will turn into a huge opportunity, and you can eat the most delicious meat first!

Thinking of this, Liu Tianci was agitated, his face flushed, and he said to Xia Yu: "Chairman, if it really happens as you said, then I will definitely stop investing, buy all gold, and earn him a fortune!"

Xia Yu laughed and said confidently: "According to the analysis, the possibility of a revolution in Iran has reached more than 90%, so investing in gold is very promising. Don't invest in New York gold, but only in London gold."

Now there are two major gold trading markets in the world, London and New York, which are very different.

The United States is one of the global gold futures trading centers. The gold futures varieties in the United States mainly refer to the gold futures varieties on the COMEX exchange of the New York Mercantile Exchange, usually called "New York Gold".

New York gold is a futures contract, the contract has a term, and the leverage is limited to less than 35 times.

London Gold is quite different.

London Gold is a spot contract, 24 hours a day, seven days a week are trading hours, and the contract is indefinite, the leverage can be used up to 100 times.

London is the oldest gold trading center and the largest gold market in the world. Its characteristic is that there is no fixed exchange, that is, there is no actual trading venue.

In other words, the transaction lacks regulatory supervision and is very suitable for capital flow.

Compared with the heavily restricted New York gold, Xia Yu, who was intent on shooting quietly, of course preferred the London gold, which lacks supervision.

"Chairman, when do you think a revolution will break out in Iran?"

Liu Tianci asked again, this question is very crucial. If you grasp it well, a crisis will become an opportunity. If you grasp it poorly, an opportunity can turn into a crisis again.

Xia Yu thought about it for a while, and said decisively: "No accident, it will break out at the end of this month, and there is still half a month at most!"

"Half a month!"

Liu Tianci's expression was dignified, and he muttered in his mouth, quickly thinking about how to act in order to maximize the benefits.

Seeing this, Xia Yu smiled lightly, and said to Liu Tianci: "Godsend, there is plenty of time, we want to earn this money, but the bank is also going to buy it. Which bank do you like?"

Liu Tianci was stunned for a moment, his brows furrowed slightly, why did the topic turn to the acquisition of a bank again, didn't he just ask him to invest in gold first?

It seems that the chairman means that it is possible to invest in gold or acquire banks?

So much money, how to do this?

PS: How to have both fish and bear's paw? Just vote ☆( ̄▽ ̄)/$:*

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